The Trump Russian leak twitter battleground
Gephi has a tool to import tweets and map them as a network through hashtags. This is how it looks with the search key “Trump” just after the news came out in the Washington Post that Trump had allegedly leaked classified information to the Russian Ambassador and Foreign Minister. One can clearly see where the…
The Labour Party is Losing the Centre
The graph above shows the level of electoral support for British political parties by ideological self-positioning, based on wave 10 of the British Electoral Study (data collected in November and December 2016). I have left out people who refuse to place themselves. The curve obviously declines as you go right for Labour, and increases for the Conservatives…
A network of votes in the Eurovision song contest 2017
The network below shows the country participants in yesterday’s Eurovision song contest connected to their top 3 recipients of votes (both jury and call-in votes). The colour of the arrows corresponds to the recipient. We can see the two main contenders Portugal and Bulgaria clearly standing out.
The social base of Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will be competing in the election run-off of the French presidential election on May 7th. It is fair to say that Macron and Le Pen propose completely opposed views of what France should be. Macron is a liberal cosmopolitan, is pro-EU and wants to relax employment protection, and Le Pen…
Ausländische Statt Weibliche Arbeitskräfte
In Panorama, April 2017.
Projecting the second round of the French presidential election
What would vote transfers in the second round of the presidential election look like? In an earlier post, I showed that Jean-Marie Le Pen got very few votes from other parties in the second round of the 2002 election, when he made it to the second round. Voters of all other candidates massively rallied behind…
Will Marine Le Pen be able to draw voters of other candidates?
A question many people ask themselves is whether Marine Le Pen will be able to draw voters beyond her own electorate if she makes it to the second round of the French Presidential election (which looks quite likely). In all scenarios put forward in polls, she loses against all other possible candidates. It is interesting to…
Who exports where in the European Union?
EU countries connected to their three largest EU export markets (Eurostat data) pic.twitter.com/pLqE3WpDvr — Alexandre Afonso (@alexandreafonso) April 1, 2017 Source: Eurostat.
Brexit, Populist Right-Wing Parties and the Working Class
I took part in the Fafo conference in Oslo on March 23 and presented some data on the working class and populist right-wing parties. Here’s a video.
The Far Right’s Leftist Mask
Line Rennwald and I have a new piece up at Jacobin on the move to the left of radical right parties on economic issues. We notably discuss the difference between rhetoric and action.